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Days until Election Day (11/4/2025) - 26
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Map Option C is 4-0 GOP on paper, but tightens the margins in two districts

Utah’s "Option C" map proposal approved by the Utah legislature on Monday still gives the GOP a 4-0 edge, with a Republican advantage in every congressional district.

However, two seats might provide more electoral drama than what the Beehive State has become accustomed to. Two of the proposed seats, CD2 and CD3, sit inside single digits: Republican Donald Trump would have carried each by 6.5 points or less in 2024 and 2020, suggesting they could be competitive instead of a GOP lock.

Voter registration numbers point in the same direction.

Data provided to Utah Political Watch by the political data firm L2 shows Republicans make up under half of registered voters in CD2 and CD3, with Democrats nearing 20% in both.

The percentage of unaffiliated voters who don’t belong to any political party is highest in CD2 on the proposed map at nearly 33%.

Utah congressional map proposal "Option C." Voter registration data from L2.

Those shares shrink the GOP cushion. While CD2 and CD3 are still red, the Republican coalition is less locked.

The partisan mix on Option C looks very different from the map tossed by Utah Third District Judge Dianna Gibson in August.

On the invalidated map, Republicans held 50%+ registration in all four congressional seats, while Democrats sat at 15.5% or less.

On Option C, the narrowest registration gap is in CD2 at about 25 points. CD 3 is about 29 points.

That still points to a Republican advantage, but the spread is much tighter than the 2021 map, where the smallest registration gap was 35 points.